Portugal on the brink of a political shift ahead of general election

As Portugal faces another snap general election amid economic and political turmoil, the battle lines are drawn between traditional parties and emerging right-wing contenders, setting the stage for a potential shift in the country’s political landscape.
Portugal is heading towards a pivotal general election amidst a backdrop of economic struggles, housing crises, and corruption scandals that have shaken the faith of its citizens in the traditional political parties. The election, scheduled for the second snap general election in three years, comes after the resignation of Prime Minister António Costa, with the Socialist Party, led by Pedro Nuno Santos, now fighting to retain its influence against mounting challenges from the right.
The centre-right Social Democratic Party, led by Luis Montenegro, and the far-right Chega party, under the leadership of André Ventura, are key contenders. Chega, known for its radical right populist stance, is capitalizing on widespread public discontent over issues such as corruption within mainstream parties, low wages, and the soaring cost of living—including a housing crisis exacerbated by rising house prices and rents.
Corruption scandals have notably impacted the political landscape, leading to the collapse of the Socialist government and the arrest of high-ranking officials. Portugal’s economic challenges are foregrounded by its position as one of Western Europe’s lowest earners, with a monthly minimum wage of 820 euros, which has left many citizens struggling.
The Democratic Alliance, comprising right-wing factions, is seen as having a slim lead over the Socialist Party in polls. However, the rise of Chega and its potential significant gains in voter share have introduced uncertainties into the political equation. Ventura’s party is tapping into voter disillusionment towards mainstream politics, promising changes to address national sovereignty and economic stagnation.
With 10.8 million voters set to elect 230 lawmakers to the National Assembly, the election’s outcome remains uncertain, particularly given the large number of undecided voters and the controversies surrounding the traditional parties. The impending election could mark a significant shift in Portugal’s political direction, potentially aligning with broader rightward shifts observed in other European countries such as Spain and France.